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    Political handicappers and bettors give Republicans a clean shot at taking back control of the House of Representatives in November’s midterm elections. Victory would give current House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) the inside track to become the next speaker of the House. Among other things, that would signal bad news for future high-speed rail funding. RealClearPolitics in late September predicted exactly 218 seats to be won by Republicans, a bare majority in the 435-member chamber. CBS News at the same time said House Republicans would win 223 seats. University of Virginia professor Larry Sabato's "Crystal Ball," out of the school's Center for Politics, landed on a 227-208 Republican majority House over Democrats. And Fox News predicted House Republicans would end up with a 13-seat House majority, holding 231 seats to the Democrats’ 204. People who are wagering on the elections mostly agree. “Bookies have therefore chosen to cut their odds on a Republican majority here, from 2/5 to 2/7. That now suggests a 77.8% likelihood of the Democrats losing control of the lower chamber,” reported Gambling.com....
    House Republicans debated on Thursday whether conference rules changes should be considered before leadership elections next year during their last closed-door conference meeting ahead of the midterm elections. Members of the conservative House Freedom Caucus have been ramping up pressure for the rules package to be taken up first after the group released a list of demands aimed at decentralizing power. These demands include changes to ease the procedure to offer a “motion to vacate the chair,” a tactic aimed at deposing a sitting speaker; reforms to the powerful Steering Committee, which is tasked with choosing who sits on and leads committees; the reinstatement of the “Holman Rule," which permits members to make targeted cuts to bureaucrats’ salaries; and a “majority of a majority” rule to pass bills. The House “Freedom [Caucus] has people up pushing for it before leadership elections — Kevin [McCarthy] also clearly brought people to speak on his behalf,” one senior source in the room told the Washington Examiner during the meeting. HOUSE FREEDOM CAUCUS ISSUES RULE CHANGE DEMANDS TO LEADERSHIP...
    It won’t take a major red wave for Republicans to retake the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2022 midterms. Democrats have only a small House majority — definitely smaller than in 2019 or 2020 — and Republicans won’t need to flip a lot of Democrat-held seats to obtain a House majority. House Republicans, in their “Commitment to America,” have discussed their plans for the House in 2023 if they become its majority party — and liberal Washington Post opinion column Eugene Robinson, in a biting September 26 column, slams it as devoid of substance. Above all else, Robinson stresses, Republicans’ plans for the House are motivated by a desire for “revenge.” “Pay no attention to the House Republicans’ substance-free ‘Commitment to America,’” Robinson argues. “The actual GOP plan, if the party takes control of the lower chamber in January, is a campaign of performative revenge.” READ MORE: 'Fundraising difficulties' are 'alarming' the GOP as the midterms draw closer and closer: report Robinson, a frequent guest on MSNBC, continues, “Ginned-up investigations, cruel attacks on the marginalized, even a concocted impeachment...
    \u201cGood example for journalism students (and others!) to see how political journalists are failing you.\u201d — Soledad O'Brien (@Soledad O'Brien) 1664122234 \u201cAt this point @chucktodd is explicitly endorsing January 6 denialism by continuing to invite Nancy Mace onto Meet the Press\u201d — Matt Negrin, HOST OF HARDBALL AT 7PM ON MSNBC (@Matt Negrin, HOST OF HARDBALL AT 7PM ON MSNBC) 1664121615 \[email protected]: You asked a GOP member of Congress if they will vote to impeach President Biden when he has committed ZERO impeachable offenses. She says \u2018maybe\u2019 and you still don\u2019t bother to ask what she would support impeaching him for. You are not a journalist. You\u2019re a disgrace.\u201d — Andrew Wortman \ud83c\udff3\ufe0f\u200d\ud83c\udf08\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8 (@Andrew Wortman \ud83c\udff3\ufe0f\u200d\ud83c\udf08\ud83c\uddfa\ud83c\uddf8) 1664129179 \u201cSuch irresponsible journalism. Normalizing impeachment and chaos with no interrogation or analysis. What the point other than to provide an undeserved platform for fringe thinkers? @chucktodd please explain this.\u201d — Janai Nelson (@Janai Nelson) 1664137351
    Some bumbling House Republican candidates are not helping their party’s cause to win a House majority on Nov. 8. House Republicans are otherwise well positioned to claim a majority in the midterm elections. Democratic President Joe Biden’s approval ratings are persistently low. Four-decade high inflation continues to pinch consumers, and the Federal Reserve’s consistent interest rate hikes are jacking up credit fees, the cost of home mortgages, and a range of other expenses for the public. The House math also works in the House Republicans’ favor. The party needs to net only five seats in the 435-member chamber to win its first majority since the 2018 midterm elections, in which GOP candidates were swept under in large part by former President Donald Trump’s enduring unpopularity. The party out of power in the White House and Congress almost always picks up seats in midterm elections. (Democrats hold the White House, the House of Representatives, and the Senate.) But all of that only matters if Republican candidates can take advantage of these circumstances and win in the fall. That’s...
    (CNN)In the past 20 days, the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter has done something quite remarkable: it has moved ratings for eight House races in favor of Democrats. "Democrats continue to poll two to three points better than earlier this year in most districts, giving incumbents in marginally blue districts some cushion and putting a handful more GOP seats in play," wrote David Wasserman, who oversees House races for the nonpartisan campaign tipsheet, on Wednesday. (The three races that were shifted in Democrats' direction this week are in Arizona's 1st District, Arizona's 2nd District and Texas' 28th District.) Read More Now, it's worth noting here -- as Wasserman does -- that Republicans still only need to win six of the 31 races that Cook rates as a "toss-ups" to take control of the House, an utterly doable feat when you consider that the history of midterm elections strongly favors the party without the presidency. So, no, the recent ratings changes made shouldn't be read as a sign that Democrats will hold their majority. In fact, most forecasters heavily tilt...
    Tennessee Representative John Rose (R-TN-06), a member of the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services, criticized Democrats on the Committee for “shielding Biden Administration officials from proper oversight.” During a hearing for the Subcommittee on Diversity and Inclusion, Rose began his remarks by acknowledging the Committee’s upcoming schedule, noting that there has not been a Biden administration official present at a hearing for months. “I was quite disappointed when I saw the hearing schedule for this month,” Rose said. “As Members of the Financial Services Committee, one of our primary responsibilities is conducting oversight of the executive branch. The last time we even held a hearing with a Biden Administration official was July 20th. We’ll have gone nearly four months without holding a hearing with any Biden Administration officials because of the October recess.” Rose added that it is “not right for the Democratic Majority to shield the administration from oversight just because there is an election in November.” The Committee on Financial Services is chaired by Democrat Representative Maxine Waters (D-CA-43). Including Congressman Rose, the Subcommittee on Diversity...
    Members of the conservative House Freedom Caucus are calling for Republicans to vote on a conference rules package before the party elects its members of leadership next year, according to multiple sources familiar with the talks. A number of caucus members, including Reps. Michael Cloud (R-TX), Bob Good (R-VA), Scott Perry (R-PA), the chairman of the group, and Chip Roy (R-TX), advocated prioritizing it during the House GOP’s conference meeting, one senior GOP source in the room confirmed to the Washington Examiner. The group put forward a list of demands members want to see in the rules package earlier this year, aimed at decentralizing power away from congressional leadership. Roy, who asserted he does not divulge information about closed-door meetings, said that while he won’t confirm the message he delivered to the conference during the open-mic portion of the meeting, he is supportive of acting on rules ahead of leadership votes. HOUSE FREEDOM CAUCUS ISSUES RULE CHANGE DEMANDS TO LEADERSHIP FOR A GOP MAJORITY “Before, we're talking about the personalities to lead,” he said. “But...
    Nearly 24 years after resigning as House speaker, Newt Gingrich is in a familiar Capitol Hill role — sought out by Republicans for policy and political expertise while being treated by Democrats with deep skepticism, bordering at times on contempt. House Republicans, within striking distance of winning a majority in November, have sought advice from Gingrich on crafting a policy platform for what they hope will be a January 2023 ascent to power. At the same time, House Democrats are pressing the onetime lawmaker from Georgia on a very different matter — his role in former President Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn President Joe Biden’s 2020 win. The dichotomy reflects the contrasting partisan roles of and perceptions of Gingrich going back to his first election to the House in 1978, representing a suburban Atlanta district. House Republicans at the time were buried deep in the minority amid Democrats' four-decade majority run from 1955-95. Gingrich, throughout the late Cold War era, convinced his GOP colleagues they could one day win a majority. Gingrich scored a leadership position in...
    (CNN)Everyone -- and I mean everyone -- in the political world is looking for ways to figure out what is happening out in the country right now.Going into this summer, 2022 looked like a typical midterm election cycle -- President Joe Biden was deeply unpopular, Republicans were revved up to vote and it appeared as though Democrats were headed for major losses in the House and a loss of their Senate majority too.Then came the curve ball. The Supreme Court's decision to overturn Roe v. Wade appears to have effectively reset the midterm dynamic. Suddenly, Democrats are resurgent, Biden's numbers are improving and even Republicans are admitting that the ground has shifted beneath their feet.So, where the heck are we right now?The best way to answer that -- to my mind, at least -- is to look at the generic ballot question. This is a question that pollsters have been asking for a very long time and that has been, generally speaking, a very reliable weather vane to tell you which way the way the political winds are blowing.Read MoreThe...
    President Joe Biden's press secretary condemned Republican lawmakers for “taking rights away from millions of women” with a new bill that would institute a 15-week abortion ban. Sen. Lindsey Graham’s (R-SC) legislation “would strip away women’s rights in all 50 states,” Karine Jean-Pierre said, calling it “wildly out of step” with what America wants. “The president and vice president are fighting for progress, while Republicans are fighting to take us back,” Jean-Pierre said. LOBBYISTS PEEL OFF FROM HARRIS’S OFFICE BUT STICK WITH BIDEN The Supreme Court’s Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Center decision eliminated federal protections for abortion this summer when it overturned Roe v. Wade, returning the decision to the states and elected branches. Graham’s bill calls for a nationwide ban on abortions after 15 weeks, with exceptions for rape, incest, and safeguarding the mother’s life. While a majority of voters opposed the court's decision to overturn Roe, 72% support a 15-week ban, including 60% of Democrats, according to the results of a June Harvard/Harris poll. Nevertheless, the prospect of getting a filibuster-proof majority is small, even if...
    Stefan Zaklin/Getty Images Nate Silver’s election forecasting website FiveThirtyEight recently published an in-depth breakdown of the candidates running in the 2022 midterms who deny the result of the 2020 presidential election or who have called into question the legitimacy of the vote. The impressive project “drew on news reports, debate footage, campaign materials and social media and reached out to every single Republican nominee for the House, Senate, governor, secretary of state and attorney general to determine their position on the 2020 election.” The outcome of all that reporting was a detailed look at exactly who is poised to enter the next Congress. The report found that over “60 percent of Americans will have an election denier on the ballot this fall” and that more than half of House GOP members predicted to win seats in November have denied the election. Denying the 2020 presidential election and parroting debunked accusations of widespread voter fraud became a key task for candidates seeking the endorsement of former President Donald Trump, who boosted many GOP candidates to primary victories this cycle. While the...
    Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) denied a report from Fox’s Maria Bartiromo claiming that she is seeking to be appointed U.S. ambassador to Italy. Bartiromo’s report cited sources claiming that Speaker of the House Pelosi is angling to take the position should the GOP win a majority in the House after the midterm elections. From Bartiromo: Sources tell FOX Business that Pelosi wants President [Joe] Biden to nominate her to become the next U.S. ambassador to Italy if the GOP takes the House majority in the midterm elections. Biden is holding the spot for the speaker, sources say, which is one reason he has yet to fill the position since taking office. Speculation earlier this year that a Pelosi ally and former Wall Street executive wanted the job has shifted with the increasing likelihood that the GOP takes the majority. Bartiromo’s report claimed Pelosi’s office did not return requests for comment on the claims. The congresswoman’s office insisted they were not contacted before the Fox Business report was published. Bartiromo’s team has pushed back on the claim that...
    Nancy Pelosi's office is pushing back on the 'utter nonsense' report that the Speaker will abandon her House leadership role to be U.S. Ambassador to Italy if Republicans take a majority after the 2022 midterms. 'The Speaker has no interest in this position and has not discussed it with anyone in the White House,' Pelosi's spokesman Drew Hammill told DailyMail.com A Monday report claims that Pelosi, 82, has no interest in returning to a minority leader role in Congress. According to Fox News host Maria Bartiromo, sources claim President Joe Biden is holding onto the U.S. ambassador to Italy assignment for Pelosi. 'This is the second time Maria Bartiromo has proceeded with reporting anonymous rumors about the Speaker's future that have no merit,' Hammill accused. 'And the second time she has failed to ask us for comment before airing or publishing this utter nonsense.' The White House refused to comment on the report, telling DailyMail.com: 'We don't engage in hypotheticals.' It's not unusual for presidents to reserve cushy ambassadorship roles for those who helped propel them to the White House....
    The White House previewed President Joe Biden’s prime-time address about threats to democracy ahead of the midterm elections with a defense of his definition of extremism. Biden is expected to argue that the wing of the Republican Party most closely associated with former President Donald Trump constitutes a threat to democracy. But he has faced questions about how he differentiates “ultra-MAGA” Republicans from the rest of the party or basically views them as the same. "When you are not with where a majority of Americans are, then you know, that is extreme,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre told reporters at Thursday’s briefing. “That is an extreme way of thinking." BEATING EXPECTATIONS IN NOVEMBER COULD LEAVE DEMOCRATS STUCK WITH BIDEN IN 2024 Majorities have in the past opposed many positions now widely held by voters in 2022. In 1996, 68% told Gallup they opposed gay marriage to only 27% who supported it. That year, Congress passed the Defense of Marriage Act by strong bipartisan majorities. Biden, then a senator from Delaware, voted for this federal gay marriage ban. President Bill...
    President Joe Biden will give an optimistic, not a political speech, when he addresses Americans on Thursday night, the White House says. But his remarks, coming 10 weeks before the November midterm election, will push for voter participation as the president works to keep Democrats in control of Congress.  The president will balance his attacks on 'extreme MAGA Republicans' and the threat to democracy with an optimistic look at America's future. Office. White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said the president will talk about protecting freedom and that those who don't agree are 'extreme.'  'When you are not with where majority of Americans are, then, you know, that is extreme. That is an extreme way of thinking,' she said at Thursday's press briefing. She cited those who are pushing for a full ban on abortions - no exceptions - and those who attack democracy and incite calls for violence as examples.  She said the speech, which begins at 8 p.m. ET, will be optimistic in tone and not political.  'It's not a political speech,' Jean-Pierre said. 'What we're going to hear...
    by Eric Lendrum   Many conservative Republicans in the House of Representatives are already drafting plans to formally impeach Joe Biden next year, after the party presumably regains a majority in the lower chamber this November. According to The Hill, while previous resolutions to impeach Biden quickly died in the House due to Democrats currently holding the majority, such efforts may be far more successful in a Republican-led House next year. “I have consistently said President Biden should be impeached for intentionally opening our border and making Americans less safe,” said Congressman Bob Good (R-Va.). “Congress has a duty to hold the President accountable for this and any other failures of his Constitutional responsibilities, so a new Republican majority must be prepared to aggressively conduct oversight on day one.” Eight resolutions to impeach Biden have already been introduced with Republicans in the minority, ranging from such matters as the controversial overseas business dealings of his son, Hunter Biden, to his mishandling of the immigration crisis and the American withdrawal from Afghanistan. Four of these resolutions were sponsored by Congresswoman Marjorie...
    CENTRAL CITY, Iowa — Rep. Jim Banks (R-IN) brought his campaign for House majority whip to Iowa, promoting House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) as a “fantastic” future speaker who needs capable lieutenants by his side in a new Republican majority. Banks was here, near Cedar Rapids, stumping for freshman Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-IA), part of a cross-country tour to support GOP efforts to win the House majority in midterm elections and build support for his majority whip bid. If Republicans prevail, McCarthy is on track to become speaker, and House Minority Whip Steve Scalise (R-LA) is likely the next majority leader. That leaves open the post of chief floor-vote counter — and Banks wants it. “The conference is hungry for leadership that’s going to fight to make sure that we do what we promised the voters that we’re going to do,” Banks told the Washington Examiner Sunday, before taking the stage at Hinson’s second annual “BBQ Bash” in front of hundreds of grassroots Republicans. “Speaker-to-be McCarthy needs leaders around him who are going to help to push that agenda...
    Republicans’ projected seat lead in the race for control of the House is shrinking, according to a new analysis. CBS News updated its Battleground Tracker this weekend to show Republicans likely to win a narrow House majority rather than the red wave some were predicting just a few months ago. The analysis estimated that Republicans would hold 226 seats after November, down from the 230 it estimated in July. In order to hold a majority, a party must control 218 seats in the House. ILLINOIS LAWMAKER CHIDES FELLOW DEMOCRATS FOR ‘UNSEEMLY’ HOUSE COMMITTEE JOCKEYING The shift follows other projections reducing the number of seats House Republicans are expected to gain, including one from the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. The shifts in projections come as President Joe Biden's job approval and his ratings on key areas, such as the economy, inflation, and gas prices, have all increased in recent weeks. Biden’s overall job approval number is the highest it has been among registered voters since February, according to the CBS News poll. While CBS found...
    (CNN)House Republicans are starting to grow pessimistic about their chances of winning a massive majority in the midterm elections, putting some allies of GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy on edge over his future.While GOP lawmakers are still confident they will be able to recapture the House this fall -- thanks to a map and historical trends that are both in their favor -- there are new concerns inside the party that Democrats might be able to minimize the GOP's gains in November, according to interviews with nearly a dozen Republican lawmakers and aides.And the size of the GOP's majority matters -- both for McCarthy's ability to secure the speaker's gavel and his ability to govern a Republican conference that has swung increasingly to the right while a crop of the party's moderates and dealmakers have headed for the exits.Last year, McCarthy bullishly predicted a 60-seat gain, a landslide that would give them a comfortable majority in a chamber where Republicans only need a net gain of four seats to take back power. But now, Republican sources believe that a gain of...
    The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is pouring another $24 million into fall television advertising as House Democrats look to stem their losses in midterm elections. This latest independent expenditure investment comes on the heels of a $21.4 million advertising reservation the DCCC announced earlier this year and covers nearly two dozen media markets across the country. House Democrats are defending a thin, five-seat majority that could fall in November even if a massive GOP wave fails to materialize. However, after strong performances in recent special elections, Democrats are hopeful of defying history and holding on to the speaker’s gavel. “Democrats are taking action to ensure the American people have a chance to hear from House Democrats about the stakes of this election and the dangers of MAGA Republicans in the most critical battleground districts across the country,” Tim Persico, DCCC executive director, said in a statement. WALKER WOULD BE PROPELLED INTO PRESIDENTIAL CONTENTION WITH WIN OVER WALKER Persico’s use of the term “MAGA Republicans” is not happenstance. Democrats believe their best path to retaining the House majority is to define...
    During a recent speech at a Northern Kentucky Chamber of Commerce gathering, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell expressed confidence that Republicans will “flip” the U.S. House of Representatives in November but wasn’t nearly as bullish on Republicans’ prospects for winning back the U.S. Senate. Democratic strategists have been fearing a major red wave like the ones in 1994 and 2010, but recent polls have given them reason to believe that Republicans may not perform as well in the 2022 midterms as they feared — and that Democratic candidates may even flip some GOP-held seats in the Senate. Liberal New York Times opinion writer Jamelle Bouie, in his August 26 column, points out that according to FiveThirtyEight, Republicans are still “heavily favored” to take back the House — which Democrats have a “one in five” chance of keeping. But Bouie offers some recommendations for Democrats should they manage to keep their majorities in both the Senate and the House in November. “The national environment may have shifted away from the Republican Party,” Bouie writes. “There is a real chance, in other...
    Political handicappers almost universally expect that Democrats will lose their paper-thin majority in the House of Representatives this year. However, if it’s closer than expected, what happens in a handful of California congressional districts could make the difference. On paper, Democrats should make gains in California this year, perhaps as many as five seats, thanks largely to how an independent redistricting commission changed the state’s 52 congressional districts after the 2020 census. Demographic changes, particularly increases in the state’s Latino population, and continued erosion of Republican voter registration meant that most of the 11 Republican-held districts wound up with smaller GOP voter shares. That was bad news for Republicans who had barely won election or re-election in 2020, a year in which the GOP regained four of the seven seats it had lost in 2018. Democrats’ most serious GOP targets are Michelle Steel and Young Kim in Orange County, Ken Calvert in Riverside County, Mike Garcia in the suburbs of northern Los Angeles County and David Valadao in Fresno and Tulare counties. The district represented by Garcia, who won his seat in...
    Liz Cheney said that if her party were to launch an inquiry into the creation of the January 6 select committee, she would comply with a subpoena to testify if issued by her colleagues. The Wyoming Republican, who recently lost her at-large House seat in the primary elections Tuesday, said Sunday that Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy shouldn't become speaker if the GOP wins in November because he is 'unfaithful to the Constitution.' Cheney is one of the two Republicans on the House select committee probing the January 6, 2021 Capitol attack. She is joined by Representative Adam Kinzinger of Illinois and seven Democratic lawmakers. Donald Trump made it his revenge mission to get Cheney booted from her House seat in Wyoming. The primary elections on Tuesday proved the former president successful when Cheney lost to the Trump-backed challenger Harriet Hageman by 37.4 points. Representative Liz Cheney said that if her GOP colleagues subpoenaed her in any future investigations into the January 6 select committee, she would comply Upon joining the Pelosi-created panel attempting to prove a link between Trump's rhetoric...
    A new poll shows Arizona Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly opening up an eight-point lead over his Trump-backed opponent Blake Masters, as Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell warns Republicans might not take back the Senate. Kelly's lead in a new Fox News poll comes as the Democratic campaign arm has already begun blasting out ads saying Masters, a venture capitalist, is 'not like normal Arizonans' and claiming he has 'dangerous beliefs and plans that are deeply out of step with the state's values.' Kelly is considered one of the most vulnerable Democrats in the party's 50-50 majority. Another new Fox News poll shows incumbent Republican Sen. Ron Johnson trailing his Democratic opponent, Mandela Barnes, 50 to 46 per cent. That follows a Marquette University poll that had Barnes, the state's 35-year-old lieutenant governor, up 7.  Arizona Sen. Mark Kelly holds an eight-point lead in a new Fox News poll in his state, which Joe Biden narrowly carried It comes in a state that President Joe Biden won by a single percentage point, and that Donald Trump carried four years earlier.  Johnson...
    GOP lawmakers vying to be the next House majority whip are hustling to lock up support from key members of the conference as the race heats up ahead of the Republicans' likely takeover of the lower chamber next fall. National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Tom Emmer’s (R-MN) decision to inform members he plans to throw his hat in the ring has shaken up the dynamics of the battle for what would be the No. 3 position in GOP leadership should the party take back control of the House. The Minnesota Republican is set to face off against Republican Study Committee Chairman Jim Banks (R-IN) and Chief Deputy Whip Drew Ferguson (R-GA) in the race for the coveted role. As jockeying for the spot accelerates, top lawmakers have quietly begun to take steps to aid their preferred candidates in the race for the position on the leadership team, multiple GOP members confirmed. While current members of House GOP leadership haven’t publicly issued endorsements, five lawmakers and four aides told the Washington Examiner that House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy...
    National Republican Congressional Committee Chairman Tom Emmer (R-MN) is throwing his hat in the ring to become the next majority whip if Republicans take back control of the House. The Minnesota Republican has been telling members that his current focus is on leading the House GOP’s campaign arm but encouraging them not to promise their support elsewhere as the race heats up, Politico reported. “Emmer has been asking colleagues to hold off on committing to anyone for Whip until after the midterms,” one source familiar with the talks told the Washington Examiner. REP. ELISE STEFANIK LEANING AGAINST HOUSE REPUBLICAN WHIP BID If Republicans win back the House in November, Minority Whip Steve Scalise (R-LA) would be poised to move up to House majority leader if Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) becomes House speaker. That would leave a vacancy for the whip position up for grabs. Emmer, who is currently serving his second term as NRCC chairman, is expected to face Rep. Jim Bank (R-IN), the chairman of the Republican Study Committee, and Rep. Drew Ferguson...
    Republican pragmatists preparing for life in the House majority are urging colleagues to be ready to compromise to get things done, warning that simply opposing President Joe Biden would no longer be acceptable. “We can’t pursue ‘No’ — we’ve got to govern,” Rep. Mike Bost (R-IL) told reporters during a briefing organized by the Republican Main Street Partnership, a caucus of pragmatic conservatives, just before the House left Washington for an extended summer recess. Bost, 61, was not chiding colleagues about compromising with Biden and congressional Democrats, although both will be necessary — especially with a Senate that does not have 60 Republican votes, regardless of which party controls the majority. Rather, Bost was emphasizing the necessity for House Republicans to reach consensus among themselves to assemble the 218 votes required to approve legislation and maximize their leverage with the Senate and the White House. House Republicans periodically had a hard time during their last eight-year sojourn in the majority, both under former Presidents Barack Obama and Donald Trump. In particular, the House Freedom Caucus, an alliance of Republican hard-liners,...
    (CNN)Kellyanne Conway, a former adviser to Donald Trump, had a breakfast meeting Friday morning with a group of House Republicans in House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy's office, multiple GOP sources told CNN. The topic of discussion: the policy task forces that McCarthy created last summer to start sketching out a legislative agenda for if Republicans recapture the majority. GOP lawmakers are putting the finishing touches on their policy messaging document, which is expected to be unveiled in September so that members can run on it in the fall.McCarthy tapped seven task forces in summer 2021 to start sketching out a legislative agenda if Republicans recapture the majority, with the goal of releasing a document before the end of the summer that members can run on this fall. The seven task forces are dividing their focus between topics including: Jobs and the Economy; Big Tech Censorship and Data; Future of American Freedoms; Climate and Conservation; American Security; Healthy Futures; and China Accountability. The task force chairs held presentations earlier this year at a retreat in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida.With gas prices,...
    (CNN)Senate GOP Leader Mitch McConnell had such a reputation for stopping Democratic legislation and keeping his conference together that he earned the nickname "the grim reaper." But now he's helped push through a string of major bipartisan victories that Democrats in particular are touting, splintering his own conference and leaving some House Republicans fuming. "Of course there was big frustration" with those Senate Republican votes, said Rep. Jim Jordan of Ohio, an ally of House GOP leadership and co-founder of the hardline House Freedom Caucus. "I thought that was totally wrong." The divide is most pronounced between McConnell and House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy, who has whipped his members to oppose some of the big-ticket items that McConnell has backed, raising concerns among some Republicans about how the two will function in a potential GOP majority next year. "Too often we're seeing Republicans in the Senate losing fights because they're not sticking together," a Republican House member told CNN. "In the majority, we would hope that the Senate would be a partner, rather than an obstacle." Read MoreMcCarthy, who meets...
    Rep. Dave Joyce (R-OH) on Wednesday was unanimously elected to be the new chairman of the centrist Republican Governance Group, formerly known as the Tuesday Group. Joyce, who was first elected to the House in 2012, is replacing Rep. John Katko (R-NY), who is set to retire at the end of this term. KATKO ENDORSES JOYCE TO SUCCEED HIM AS HEAD OF CENTRIST HOUSE REPUBLICAN GROUP Katko, who endorsed Joyce for the position, opted to step down early as chairman to allow the group to prepare for the 118th Congress. Joyce has developed a reputation for being an affable deal-maker with strong relationships with members on both the Right and the Left. “I'm honored to be able to represent such a fine group of legislators and make sure that our voices are heard in this session and in the next,” he said after the election, adding that Republicans are hoping not just to have a majority in the next Congress, “but a working majority.” “He's going to be great. Fantastic,” Katko said of his...
    House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy is pressing former President Donald Trump to hold off on announcing a 2024 presidential campaign, amid some GOP concerns such a move could nationalize the off-year elections.  McCarthy hopes to become House speaker next year if Republicans take the majority, in an election where historical trends heavily favor the GOP that has featured a series of Democratic retirements. 'My point to him has always (been), 'Let's go win '22,' McCarthy said on Tuesday, when Trump made his first appearance in Washington since he left office after skipping President Joe Biden's inauguration.  Republican leaders want the November elections to be about President Joe Biden and inflation – not about Trump and his continued claims of election fraud. Former President Donald Trump continues to hint about a 2024 run for the White House. House minority leader Kevin McCarthy said he wants him to hold off 'Wait and see what happens here. Focus on winning '22. And if we win in '22, and a lot of our policies and what we're what we're running on, (that) would be the...
    Members of the conservative House Freedom Caucus (HFC) are demanding substantial changes to House and conference rules in an effort they feel will decentralize power away from congressional leadership and provide more say for rank-and-file members. The group’s call for change comes as Republicans express optimism about their odds of taking back the majority, with the HFC looking to flex its muscle as the party prepares to flip back the House. “Between now and January, the House Freedom Caucus will work with like-minded colleagues to demand aggressive reforms to return the People’s House back to the American people and make it function again. The leaders of both political parties have consolidated so much power that most Members of Congress have no meaningful role in the legislative process beyond voting up or down,” the group said in a memo exclusively obtained by The Washington Examiner. DEMOCRATS SEE ONE CHANCE TO OUTPERFORM BIDEN'S DISMAL POLLING IN NOVEMBER “The result is that the “People’s House” is serving everyone in Washington except the American people: politicians, connected lobbyists, and entrenched bureaucrats. Republicans ran to...
    Rep. Mike Waltz of Florida told DailyMail.com that China-backed companies' land purchases and tech expansion in the US pose economic concerns as well as military fears Republican Rep. Mike Waltz vowed the House GOP would launch an investigation into the flow of Chinese-backed companies' cash in the United States, if his party retakes the Congressional majority in November. Speaking to DailyMail.com on Tuesday, Waltz warned that the steady encroachment not only posed a military threat but could also have negative repercussions on the US economy. The Florida congressman also fears the investments are already being used as leverage to expand Beijing's influence throughout the world. Recent reports have highlighted Chinese companies' increasing hold over key sectors of the American economy with purchases of US farmland and the expansion of technology in rural areas. The FBI raised alarm bells over Beijing-influence telecom giant Huawei controlling cellphone towers in the rural Midwest near military bases. The bureau warned, according to CNN, that the technology is capable of disrupting Department of Defense communications.  Meanwhile lawmakers on both sides of the aisle are concerned...
    Zach Nunn is fond of the words “practical” and “pragmatic.” It’s perhaps fitting for an Iowa state senator, which Nunn is. Midwesterners lean toward affability and whatever your favorite antonym for “polarizing” happens to be. But Nunn’s demeanor isn’t all that typical for Republican House candidates in competitive contests. Usually, Republicans in his position — Nunn is challenging Rep. Cindy Axne (D) in Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District — burn President Joe Biden at the stake, and their Democratic opposition along with him, rhetorically speaking, of course. Not Nunn, at least not in his Friday interview with the Washington Examiner. Courtesy: Nunn campaign “It’s not just about winning on Election Day, it’s about delivering on the first day, highlighting an agenda that 70% of Americans agree on,” he said. “There’s a lot we can do on Day One to help the American people.” Nunn has a detailed to-do list of priorities he would like a hoped-for Republican House to unify around and tackle immediately: reducing inflation, improving public safety, balancing the federal budget, restoring energy independence, and asserting Congress’s constitutional...
    By Lisa Mascaro | Associated Press WASHINGTON — The U.S. House prepared to vote Tuesday to protect same-sex and interracial marriages, concerned that the Supreme Court ruling overturning Roe v. Wade abortion access could jeopardize other rights criticized by many conservative Americans. Lawmakers were opening a robust and potentially wrenching debate on the controversial issues in what was partly a political strategy setting up an election-year roll call that will force all House members, Republicans and Democrats, to go on the record with their views. It also reflects the legislative branch pushing back against an aggressive court that appears intent on revisiting apparently settled U.S. laws. “The extremist right-wing majority on the Supreme Court has put our country down a perilous path,” said Rep. Mary Gay Scanlon, D-Pa., in a floor speech setting Tuesday’s process in motion. “It’s time for our colleagues across the aisle to stand up and be counted. Will they vote to protect these fundamental freedoms? Or will they vote to let states take those freedoms away?” While the Respect for Marriage Act is expected to pass...
    WASHINGTON (AP) — The House is set to vote to protect same-sex and interracial marriages, a direct confrontation with the Supreme Court, whose conservative majority in overturning Roe v. Wade abortion access has sparked concerns that other rights enjoyed by countless Americans may be in jeopardy. Tuesday’s vote in the House is part political strategy setting up an election-year roll call that will force all lawmakers, Republicans and Democrats, to go on the record with their views on the high-profile social issue. It’s also part of the legislative branch asserting its authority, pushing back against an aggressive court that appears intent on revisiting many settled U.S. laws. “As this Court may take aim at other fundamental rights, we cannot sit idly by,” Rep. Jerrold Nadler, D-N.Y., the chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, said in a statement. While the Respect for Marriage Act is expected to pass the House, it is almost certain to stall in the Senate, where most Republicans would surely block it. It’s one of several bills, including those enshrining abortion access, that Democrats are pushing to...
    This week, The Downballot cohosts David Nir and David Beard looked at goings-on in New York and Michigan, as well as updates from the Maryland primaries. Going across the pond, they also chatted about what effects Boris Johnson's resignation as prime minister could have on the United Kingdom, and what we can expect looking forward. They also spoke with Jason Bresler, partner at The Strategy Group and former political director of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee during the 2018 wave that saw the party retake the House of Representatives. Bresler explains how exactly the DCCC helps candidates, from start to finish; the key moments of 2018 that convinced him the House would flip; and the advice he'd give to Democrats heading into a difficult election cycle. (Fascinating fact: The DCCC will often work with multiple candidates in the same district to aid their campaign launches.) You can listen below or subscribe to The Downballot wherever you listen to podcasts. You can also find a transcript for this week right here. New episodes come out every Thursday! x Embedded Content In New York, some big news has...
    catholic leaders on abortion.mp4 The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee reported raising $17 million in June, bringing its second-quarter haul to $40.7 million. The DCCC’s fundraising was fueled by $9 million in contributions from small grassroots donors in June, the same month that the Supreme Court issued its ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization overturning Roe v. Wade and eliminating federal protections for abortion rights. With $121.5 million in cash on hand as of July 1, House Democrats appear to be accumulating sufficient resources to defend their thin five-seat majority in the midterm elections. KEVIN MCCARTHY HAS RECORD FUNDRAISING HAUL WITH HOUSE GOP MAJORITY IN REACH “Voters are angry, energized, and ready to rally behind Democrats as we fight against the extremist MAGA agenda in this consequential election,” Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney (D-NY), the DCCC chairman, said Wednesday in a statement. The DCCC has never raised more money in the second quarter of an election year. But if campaign cash equaled political prospects, the Democratic Party’s House majority would be secure — and that is not the case....
    House Republicans are heavily favored to win the majority for the first time in four years. President Joe Biden's low approval ratings and a range of other factors mean Republicans are more likely than not to wield committee gavels come January 2023. Republican lawmakers have pledged to investigate the Biden administration aggressively. The party has rich material to mine, from the business dealings of the president's son Hunter Biden to missteps leading up to the troop withdrawal from Afghanistan last year. House Republican lawmakers who are now ranking members on their various committees are already signaling their targets should they assume control, as many are expected to do, of the panels on which they now sit. HOUSE DEMOCRATS PLAN ‘ROBUST’ JULY FLOOR SCHEDULE House Democrats don’t impose term limits on their committee chairs the way House Republicans do. The GOP members selected to lead panels in the next Congress could only hold their powerful new positions for six years consecutively. That includes time spent in a ranking member's role. So, realistically, a GOP committee chairmanship might only last two...
    House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) raised $19.2 million in the second quarter for Republican efforts to win control of Congress, bringing the total he has raised this election cycle to $124 million. Republicans need to win only five seats this fall to reclaim the House majority in the 435-member chamber. STATE ABORTION LAWS THREATEN TO SPLIT REPUBLICANS AND BOOST DEMOCRATS But McCarthy and his leadership team are shooting for historic gains in the hope of assembling a governing majority that will have the floor votes to process ambitious conservative legislation. To that end, McCarthy, in line to be elected speaker if the GOP wins the House, has transferred $49.7 million of the money he has raised this cycle to the National Republican Congressional Committee. “Americans are demanding change, and Republicans are now in a position to deliver. I want to thank our supporters from all across the country for their generous assistance in providing the resources needed to take back the House,” McCarthy said in a statement. “We are now less than four months away from electing a Republican...
    Sen. Tom Cotton (R-AR) said Republicans can win a “filibuster-proof majority” in the Senate in November during an interview on SiriusXM’s Breitbart News Sunday with host Joel Pollak. He estimated, “I think we can have a huge smashing victory in both the House and the Senate in 2022, which sets up an even bigger victory in 2024 of winning back the White House and getting to a filibuster-proof majority in the United States Senate. As long as while we’re confident we keep working hard for four more months.” He remarked, “I’m confident we’re going to win, but everyone listening, keep working hard to make sure we don’t win by a nose, but we win a huge historic landslide. I’m of the mind that we could have the largest House majority we’ve had in a century, and that in the Senate, we don’t have to settle for grinding out a 51-49 majority.” Cotton added, “We could win in places as unexpected as Washington State for instance, where Tiffany Smiley — a great veterans’ advocate, in part because her husband was...
    The White House annual salary report shows that among the top earners are those within President Joe Biden's communications shop and his top advisers – including the face of inflation strategy Brian Deese. The annual salary report was sent to Congress this month for all 474 employees as is required each year. The range for White House employees starts at zero and, for the most part, caps at $180,000 per year. The lowest non-zero sum is $48,000, which 12 workers are making. Twenty-four employees at the White House are making the maximum salary, including Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre and Communications Director Kate Bedingfield. A document sent to Congress shows the annual salaries of White House employees, of which 24 are making $180,000 Deese, who is director of the National Economic Council, is also making the top salary amount as is Biden's Chief of Staff Ronald Klain. The Deputy Chief of Staff Jennifer Dillon is making the top dollar just like her boss. The vast majority of White House employees are making over $100,000. While the cap for most is $180,000,...
    House Republicans are reportedly planning to issue subpoenas as part of a broader attempt to discredit the Jan. 6 select committee if they win back the chamber’s majority, seeking to turn the tables on a panel whose high-profile hearings featuring explosive testimony from former White House aides have dominated headlines for weeks. A senior Republican aide on the House Administration Committee — the jurisdiction of which includes security of the Capitol complex, as well as oversight over the Capitol Police — told Axios that if the party holds a majority in the House following the midterm elections, GOP members of the committee “will exercise our oversight responsibilities including subpoena authority to review all transcripts and information that the [Jan. 6] committee has access to in order to identify the truth.” CASSIDY HUTCHINSON ‘STANDS BY ALL OF THE TESTIMONY,’ COUNSEL SAYS Another GOP aide said, “The base is out for blood on subpoenas,” and that whether or not House Republicans decide to issue them “will just depend on how far [House Minority Leader Kevin] McCarthy wants to...
    President Joe Biden and First Lady Jill Biden, along with son Hunter, his wife Melissa and baby Beau, arrived back in Washington Monday after spending a weekend away at Camp David.  Later, the Bidens will celebrate the Fourth of July with the traditional cook-out with military families on the South Lawn.  Hunter Biden's appearance comes as top House Republicans, including House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, have vowed to pursue investigations into his business dealings if they take the majority in the House.  In a July 1 op-ed for The New York Post, McCarthy and Reps. Jim Jordan and James Comer, wrote that Congressional Republicans' investigation 'have found Biden family members used their connections with Joe to enrich themselves through expectations of access and promises about what a Biden administration might do.'  President Joe Biden waves to reporters upon arriving back in Washington, D.C. Monday, he's accompanied by (from left) First Lady Jill Biden, Melissa Cohen, Hunter Biden, baby Beau Biden Hunter Biden (right) holds his wife Melissa Cohen's hand (left) as he carries baby Beau after spending the weekend away...
    House Republican Leader Kevin McCarthy suggested he'd open a Congressional inquiry into Hunter Biden and the president's brother James Biden if his party won the majority in November House Republicans have 'made almost 100 requests for information' on the business dealings of President Joe Biden's family and claim 'many' have been left unanswered, senior lawmakers wrote on Friday night. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, along with the ranking members on the House Judiciary and Oversight committees Reps. Jim Jordan and James Comer, suggested they could open Congressional inquires into the Biden family - specifically the president's son Hunter - if Republicans win the majority of Congressional seats in November. They claim to have uncovered evidence that the president's relatives profited off his years-long career in Washington 'despite Democrats’ refusal to cooperate' with those efforts' in an op-ed published in the New York Post. In October 2020 the Post was the first outlet to report on the contents of a hard drive from a computer belonging to Hunter Biden, which included salacious images depicting sex acts and drug use. But the...
    President Joe Biden gave explicit marching orders to supporters of abortion rights: elect more Democrats in November, or Republicans will “ban abortions nationwide.” On Friday afternoon, the president met virtually with governors to discuss responses to the Supreme Court’s 5-4 decision on Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization, which effectively overturned Roe v. Wade, and expanded greatly on the remarks he made at a press conference in support of a filibuster exception for abortion rights. Biden’s recurring theme was that passing the Women’s Health Protection Act, and preventing Republicans from enacting a nationwide ban on abortion, will depend on November’s midterm elections: (U)ltimately, Congress is going to have to act to codify Roe into federal law. And as I said yesterday, the filibuster should not stand in the way of us being able to do that. But right now, we don’t have the votes in the Senate to change the filibuster on — on — at the moment. That means we need two more votes now — not now — when we vote, probably after November — more senators and House majority — and...
    (CNN)President Joe Biden can't avoid a bad midterm election. But with a boost last week from the US Supreme Court, he still might avoid the worst.A bad election means losing the Democratic majority in the US House of Representatives, which his own party's strategists now consider virtually certain. A Republican-controlled House would roadblock his legislative agenda, investigate his administration and family, and perhaps even impeach him -- notwithstanding the absence of legitimate cause.The worst means losing the Senate, too. Returned to the job of majority leader, Mitch McConnell could deny Biden the ability to fill top administration jobs and judicial vacancies -- including any potential vacancy on the Supreme Court. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2022Both outcomes will be shaped by the same atmospheric conditions, which for months have strongly favored the GOP. But fortunately for the beleaguered Biden, critical House and Senate contests sometimes move in different ways.Voters know less about individual House members and their challengers. That leaves competitive House races largely at the mercy of a national mood soured by inflation worries and...