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VIDEO3:1403:14More intelligent ways to give Taiwan support it needs: Bilahari says of Pelosi visitStreet Signs Asia

There are "more intelligent ways" to support Taiwan than for U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to have visited the island, former permanent secretary at Singapore's Ministry of Foreign Affairs Bilahari Kausikan told CNBC.

 

The move could undermine efforts by the U.S. and other countries to support Taiwan in the future and has further complicated Taiwan's political relationship with China, he told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Friday.

"I think Taiwan needs support and deserves support but has this achieved anything that is worthwhile? I don't think so. In fact, I think it has made things worse," Kausikan said.

Ignoring weeks of warnings from Beijing, Pelosi visited Taiwan and met President Tsai Ing-wen on Wednesday. Taiwan is a self-ruled democracy, but Beijing considers the island a breakaway province and says it has no right to conduct foreign relations.

Pelosi's visit makes her the highest-ranking U.S. official to visit Taiwan in 25 years.

China launched military drills in the airspace and waters around Taiwan the next day. On Friday, Beijing announced sanctions against Pelosi and her immediate family members, though the content of those sanctions was unspecified.

Speaker of the U.S. House Of Representatives Nancy Pelosi (D-CA), left, poses for photographs with Taiwan's President Tsai Ing-wen, right, at the president's office on August 03, 2022 in Taipei, Taiwan.Handout | Getty Images

"What Taiwan needs is certain capabilities … what Taiwan needs is diplomatic support. What Taiwan does not need is a visit, that may give you a feel-good moment … and after that, may deter other countries from visiting Taiwan, if they look at China's robust response," Kausikan said.

Whether the visit was good or bad for Taiwan remains "at least an open question," he said. "There are many other ways, more intelligent ways, less risky ways of giving Taiwan the support it needs and deserves." 

Kausikan said the visit could upset the status quo in the region and that prompted China to react in a "semi-hysterical way," adding that it "gave China an excuse" to fire missiles close to Taiwan.

You have an increasingly febrile, fractious relationship between the two countries. It simply takes off a match to light a flame, which then catches fire more or less.Kevin RuddFormer Australian Prime Minister

Still, the ex-diplomat maintained that a conflict between China and Taiwan is unlikely.

China is not eager to attack Taiwan and broad military consensus has suggested that China does not yet have the capability to launch a full scale "amphibious" military operation, he said. 

"And don't forget, for all the bluster that China put out before — during and after the visit — it still failed to deter the visit," Kausikan said. 

But accidents happen and they have in the past, he added. 

Former Australian Prime Minister Kevin Rudd said that it's the potential accidents that are most concerning.

VIDEO3:0403:04Ex-prime minister of Australia on his biggest concern from Pelosi's Taiwan visitCapital Connection

While an immediate war is not likely, Rudd is concerned the Chinese may see Pelosi's visit as a U.S. walk-back from its 1982 agreement to recognize the "one China policy."

"Then I think we're in a whole new world," he said on CNBC's "Capital Connection."

"You have an increasingly febrile, fractious relationship between the two countries," he said. "It simply takes off a match to light a flame, which then catches fire more or less." 

"That is what I'm concerned about — not tomorrow, not next month, but certainly in the years ahead, particularly as [Chinese President] Xi Jinping is likely to be re-elected or reappointed."

A war down the line can't be completely ruled out, however, especially when U.S.-China relations are unlikely to recover in the next decade, Rudd said.

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Tags: pelosi’s visit to support taiwan australian prime other countries nancy pelosi and deserves ex diplomat

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Trump wins CPAC straw poll, with DeSantis gaining ground

DALLAS — Shortly before former President Donald Trump addressed an audience of some of his biggest fans, he also led a straw poll of the conference for the Republican nominee for president in 2024. Trump is widely expected to seek a second term in the White House, but he has not declared his candidacy.

Limited to attendees generally strong fans of Trump, the Conservative Political Action Conference's straw poll is not reflective of the general electorate or even necessarily the wider Republican base. It does, however, offer a snapshot of the views of conservative activists.

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Trump led the straw poll of potential Republican candidates with 69% of attendees' support, which CPAC said represented a double-digit jump from last year’s Texas version. Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL) followed at 24%. No other potential candidate, including Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, who addressed the home-state crowd Friday to enthusiastic applause, broke 2%.

The poll singled out Rep. Liz Cheney (R-WY), a member of the House select committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol, highlighting that she clocked in at 0% of attendees’ support.

Asked who they would support if Trump were not on the primary ballot, 65% said DeSantis, followed by Donald Trump Jr. at 8%.

Attendees were also asked who they would like to see Trump select as a running mate if he is nominated. Sixty-five percent said DeSantis, followed by Gov. Kristi Noem at 9% and former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo at 8%. Four percent of attendees said they would like to see former Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, a Hawaii Democrat who has previously addressed the conference, as Trump’s running mate. Just 1% selected Pence, who was Trump’s vice president.

Asked who they thought would be the Democratic nominee for president in 2024, just 8% said President Joe Biden would seek a second term. Thirty-seven percent of conferencegoers said they thought the nominee would be Gov. Gavin Newsom (D-CA).

Conferencegoers told the Washington Examiner in interviews that they would support either Trump or DeSantis, with some suggesting they would like to see DeSantis as Trump’s running mate.

“He’s younger, he has time,” one attendee, Linda, who agreed to be identified by her first name, told the Washington Examiner of DeSantis as a potential vice presidential selection. “Then he can run.”

Attendees who referenced Biden’s age appeared unconcerned that Trump is just three years younger and would retake the record for oldest president if he were elected to a second term.

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“He’s not deteriorating. He’s sharp,” one said.

Another argued DeSantis would be a better alternative, as he would implement policies they would like without some of the "baggage" that comes with Trump. Another conferencegoer interrupted the interview to say that "they will go after anyone who runs."

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